BoE Governor: Expect 13%+ Inflation and a Recession!

The key update of the week is that the Bank of England has increased its interest rate by 0.5%, the largest increase since the Bank’s operational independence in 1997.  The rate rise comes on the back of a dismal economic forecast by the BoE that forecasted inflation rates of 13% by the end of the […]

Fears of recession loom as inflation spirals and confidence declines

This week has been dominated by the fears of a looming recession following the release of key GDP and confidence data. Significant news was released on Thursday when it emerged that the US economy shrank for a second consecutive quarter. This technical recession is due to a 0.9% GDP contraction for Q2 following a 1.6% […]

Euro hits parity with USD for first time since 2002

Unsurprisingly, inflation continues to be the topic of the moment with figures announced Wednesday showing US prices rising 9.1% in June compared to a year ago, the highest rate in 40 years. Wednesday’s result was surprisingly higher than consensus estimates of 8.8%. Inflation continued to be led by large food and fuel price increases but […]

Markets react to the resignation of Boris Johnson

This week’s major story is that British PM Boris Johnson has resigned after 59 of his ministers quit within 48 hours. The flurry of resignations followed news that Mr Johnson knew about a history of sexual misconduct concerning Assistant Whip Chris Pincher. Mr Johnson intends to remain as PM until the autumn. Sterling reaction to […]

BoE Governor sets out a gloomy outlook for UK economy

The biggest economic news this week came yesterday when the Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey delivered a speech at the ECB’s conference in Portugal. In his speech, Bailey said: “I think the UK economy is probably weakening rather earlier and somewhat more than others.” He also hinted that interest rates could rise […]

A summer of discontent?

The biggest news this week came yesterday when the ONS released data showing that inflation had gone up once again in the UK. It is now sitting at a 40-year high of 9.1%. (The last time inflation was this high, Margaret Thatcher was Prime Minister and Charles and Diana had only recently got married.) The […]

Which are the world’s major reserve currencies?

A reserve currency is one that is held in large numbers by a foreign country’s central bank or monetary authority. Reserve currencies are held for a number of reasons including: To minimise exchange rate risks To sure up the domestic currency To make complex international payments between countries To help, support and facilitate global trade […]

A turbulent week for the UK economy

It’s been another difficult week for the UK economy. Figures released this week showed that in April, the UK economy shrank by 0.3%, following on from the 0.1% contraction in March. This has led to a number of influential figures including a former Chancellor suggesting the UK was almost certainly headed for a recession. We […]

Westminster wrangling distracts from ongoing economic woes

The ongoing cost of living crisis and domestic politics have dominated the agenda this week in the UK. The bunting from last weekend’s spectacular Platinum Jubilee Celebrations hadn’t even been packed away before the news was out that the Prime Minister would face a vote of no confidence on Monday. We discussed this in an […]

Why Monday’s Tory leadership vote could signal trouble for the UK’s markets.

If there is one thing that markets hate, it’s instability. If they know change is coming, even if it’s potentially radical, it can be factored in, accounted for and the potential storm can be weathered. A surprise however is never welcome. On Monday, the UK Prime Minister won a vote of confidence from his party, […]